Comments on: Whoever Wins Tonight, Giuliani Still Loses

by: chrisgbr

Wed, 16 Jan 2008 15:10:48 +0000

jeez. you’re just a tool of the Romney campaigns with your cursed predictions…

by: Grumpy Old Man

Tue, 15 Jan 2008 20:25:45 +0000

Giuliani has to hope that Mitt Headroom ekes out a victory in Michigan–not enough to give him much momentum, but enough to derail McCain a bit.

Then the Huckster has a chance to win South Carolina, and everybody’s won one. That might give Giuliani a chance in Florida.

If this were Japan, the GOP habit of anointing old lions might make more sense. McCain’s wrong on immigration, and campaign finance regulation, but he seems to me an honorable man, and in spite of the 100-years’-war rhetoric, I think a military man is less likely to embark on a foolish war than a guy who’s never served and needs to show he’s tough.

On that score, fear the Thatcherization of Hillary.

And so endeth the nattering.

by: Daniel Larison

Tue, 15 Jan 2008 20:13:06 +0000

I would agree that Romney stays alive with a second-place finish if Romney hadn’t been organising in Michigan for over a year and a half, if he hadn’t used his post as head ot the RGA to funnel scarce money to DeVos’s hopeless gubernatorial campaign and if he weren’t a native of Michigan named Romney who has been playing the “native son” angle all he can. He has worked Michigan harder than just about any state besides Iowa and New Hampshire (and maybe South Carolina). If he doesn’t win there, it really is a sign of the limitations of his campaign.

Back when I was imagining the path to a Huckabee nomination in another lifetime (last month), I believe I kicked around the idea of a Thompson veep selection. It was then pointed out to me that Thompson adds very little to a national ticket, and this is basically correct. Thompson backs McCain, no question, but two old Senators with a combined age of over 130 will not make for much of a ticket.

by: M.Z. Forrest

Tue, 15 Jan 2008 19:58:35 +0000

I think Thompson is the choice for VP. He has carried plenty of McCain’s water, and he adds some establishment comfort. As for Huckabee, there are two tickets out of Michigan, and it looks like he isn’t going to have one. You may be right; the Republicans might have found their Bob Dole in John McCain. I’m still confident he can find a way to lose the nomination; he’s just good at that. Romney is the only logical home for the anti-McCain vote. He’s also looking like the one of the last two standing. The only way he fatally hurts his campaign is with a 3rd place finish.