Ghettoizing himself as a Christian warrior may win him Iowa, but it will only help Giuliani in Florida and on Feb 5. ~National Journal
This is the sort of thinking that propels the “Huckabee helps Giuliani” idea onward, despite its increasing implausibility. Supposing that the Rasmussen result is a fluke, Giuliani is still in a lot of trouble. Here’s one reason why:
“A lot of Florida’s social conservatives have been in somewhat of a wait-and-see mode,” says Florida Baptist Convention lobbyist and Tampa Bay-area Christian radio host Bill Bunkley, who counts himself among those waiting and seeing. “There hasn’t been a strong, viable social conservative candidate for them to coalesce around.”
If social conservatives coalesce, they could play a decisive role in Florida’s Jan. 29 primary.
Quinnipiac University, which regularly polls Florida voters, estimates that more than one-third of state GOP primary voters [bold mine-DL] are “white, born-again evangelicals.”
If Huckabee can win over a large majority of these voters, which will also mean taking them away from Giuliani, Florida could conceivably be his, and he may have some built-in support networks in Michigan, where he is now apparently tied for the lead. The establishment has six weeks to make Huckabee radioactive to his natural constituency before he is in danger of capturing enough delegates to make it a real contest. Will they be able to do it without employing the sort of insults against evangelicals and Southerners that have started to gain currency?