Ross noted approvingly that Sam Brownback once again argued for his three-way “soft partition” plan at the debate yesterday, and followed up here. Well, yes, Brownback did that, but then he has done this at virtually every debate since the campaign started. That would mean, as a matter of making a “contribution” to the debate about future Iraq policy, that Brownback has apparently won every debate this year for lack of meaningful competition. You don’t need to be an enthusiast for this year’s debate formats or a Brownback critic to question this assessment. Tommy Thompson also made similar “contributions” to the debate about political strategy. His “contributions” included calling for impossible things to be done (Maliki should call a vote on the U.S. presence! provincial governments! they should share oil revenues!) without giving any explanation of how any of these things would happen.
Along with Joe Biden, Sam Brownback is one of the main proponents of “soft partition” and has been since the beginning of the year. He flirted with Sen. Warner’s modified “surge” plan, which earned him no end of grief from the jingo platoons of the blog and talk radio right (”don’t embolden the enemy!” they cried), and he was even confused by some with someone who marked the beginning of the Great Antiwar Republican Crack-up. The reactions to Brownback’s very minimal moves away from the administration’s position do tell us how miserable the state of the debate inside the GOP is, but they also draw our attention to the superficiality of the proposals Brownback has endorsed. I mention these things because it has been my impression that Sam Brownback’s Iraq proposals have been concerned with positioning Brownback as one who can be critical of the way the war is being waged without having to explain why his proposals would achieve the goal of “victory” that he has declared to be necessary. I get the impression that he has embraced “soft partition,” just as he dabbled with Sen. Warner’s “Anbar, not Baghdad” mini-”surge,” because he would like to say that he does not support the status quo and instead supports some other unworkable scheme whose merits he cannot actually explain. If a united Iraq has been the fetish of the administration, a federalised Iraq has become the fetish of “realists” and centrist Democrats alike. There is no sense that those arguing for a federal or partition solution can say why their “solution” is going to stabilise Iraq. If one of the fears of the anti-withdrawal crowd is that the country will collapse into chaos and warlordism, nothing in a federalising or partition plan prevents this, and indeed any partition, whether “soft” or “hard,” will encourage the centrifugal forces already unleashed in the country. (Incidentally, the “Awakening” and the arming of Sunni insurgents are also contributing to centrifugal tendencies in the name of pacifying Iraq; what they are doing is setting up nicely, well-armed enclaves of people who have even less incentive to collaborate with other Iraqi groups than before.) Supporters of “soft partition” support it for the same reasons the ISG report received support–it is something different! It is a change! So, you will pardon me if I find Brownback’s “contributions” underwhelming as usual.
On a slightly related question of allegedly antiwar Republican Senators who are not, in fact, against the war, can I just say how strange I find Steve Clemons’ enthusiasm for Chuck Hagel? Of course, I find anyone’s enthusiasm for Chuck Hagel to be very odd, but it is always stranger coming from such a vocal opponent of the war. I might expect David Broder to lavish praise on Chuck Hagel’s willingness to “transcend” partisanship, but I still expect a little more from foreign policy experts. Mr. Clemons notes that Hagel is probably retiring and will not fight another election. This is more bad news for the GOP (Nebraska does not actually have much of a recent record of voting Republicans into the Senate), but I confess that I don’t see what it is that the Senate will be losing that is so invaluable with respect to foreign policy. This is someone who, in his time in office, never saw an intervention that he didn’t like, even when he saw all of the potential problems that might arise from it. His prescience about problems in Iraq in 2002, rather than making him seem wise and insightful to me, underscores just how irresponsible and conventional the man is when it came time for him to cast a vote. From the perspective of a war opponent, Hagel’s retirement and likely replacement by a Democrat would make it that much more possible for the Senate majority to have enough votes to push for some real change in policy.
Hagel has talked a good game at times, but consider this strange remark from Clemons:
Hagel was the boldest in my view in fighting George W. Bush on the war.
When exactly was he fighting Mr. Bush on the war? When he voted for the authorisation? When he gave his little speech about shoe-sellers? I am genuinely mystified at this idea that Hagel has been some great champion of the resistance to Mr. Bush. He has proved to be something of an annoyance to the administration, but that’s it.
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September 7th, 2007 at 11:41 am
George Ajjan
Daniel,
Brownback, the genius, apparently never heard of the Ottoman Empire, having said“We need to put a three-state solution in place, like was in Iraq prior to World War I”.
Tommy Thompson’s voluntary ethnic cleansing policy, in which “people will go to those particular territories”, (like Protestants left Maryland in droves I suppose), has to rank as one of the silliest proposals in this whole campaign season.
I am a fan of Chuck Hagel. He is not as courageous as Ron Paul, Jimmy Duncan, etc., but at least he has the guts to vocally question America’s imbalance when it comes to Israel and its neighbors, and as a Secretary of State would probably do a lot more to engage Syria, push for a resolution to the Palestine question, and cool off Iranian tensions.
Will you be at the JRC in DC this month? Hope to meet you there.
George
September 7th, 2007 at 12:09 pm
Daniel Larison
Thanks, George. I had missed Brownback’s “insight” into Near Eastern history. Not knowing much about the region, he must have assumed that each main community had its own country. I don’t know how you can serve in the U.S. Senate and be running for President and believe this, since you would think it is common knowledge that the Kurds have never before had a state of their own, but it does help make sense of why he supports partition. He thinks it means “going back” to the way things used to be. Tommy Thompson is, well, let’s just say that foreign policy was never going to be his strong suit.
I am willing to consider the possibility that I have been too hard on Hagel in some ways. It just seems to me that he might have done a great deal more, or tried to do a great deal more, especially if he was going to decide to retire from the Senate in any case. Thanks for the link to the syriapol page. I will be interested in reading the blog there in the future.
I don’t know that I can get away for JRC this month. I have begun teaching, and church-related activities are taking up a fair amount of time this month. I would have been very glad to meet you, but I’m afraid it will have to wait until another time.
September 7th, 2007 at 5:56 pm
George Ajjan
I’d love to know what percentage of Senators (let alone Congressmen) know that Iranians are not Arab, for example.
In the most recent debate, Brownback was quoting from Thomas Friedman on foreign policy. Earlier he advocated engaging with Iranian labor unions. This is the Republican Party?
Imagine if there was sensibility and these guys quoted from blogs like ours and a name like William Lind would be bandied about for Secretary of Defense.
I hear your frustrations on Hagel. What strongly appealed to me was the fact that he was a mainstream GOP guy (more so that Ron Paul), not to mention a Senator, but went off the reservation on foreign policy sometimes. I would love to see him as a Secretary of State.
Sorry to hear about your absence from the JRC, but I’m sure our paths will cross eventually - looking forward to it.
George
September 10th, 2007 at 5:39 pm
Daniel Larison
If Republican politicians started quoting favourably from my blog, I think it would be a sign of the end times. That’s a sad commentary on the state of things, but there it is. William Lind in the Pentagon wouldn’t be bad at all. I think Hagel might be a very good Secretary of State. I don’t tend to agree with his general foreign policy views, but I do get the sense that he at least has some notion of what he’s talking about when he speaks on the subject. The pity is that I can’t think of anyone who would appoint him. He’s burned his bridges with McCain, the rest are so far out there that they would never even think of it, and no Democrat is going to give such a plum position to someone from the other side.
September 11th, 2007 at 8:21 am
George Ajjan
Actually from what I hear he remains quite close to McCain despite their disagreements. I do believe anything can happen under the right circumstances. Here’s to hope!